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ATTENTION: TECH INVESTORS
BREAKING INVESTMENT ALERT - AUGUST 13, 2025
Breaking: AI Infrastructure Giant's 19% Plunge May Create Rare Entry Window Before September Catalyst
CoreWeave's surprising earnings miss triggers significant selloff as September lockup expiration approaches with substantial shares potentially becoming tradable
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Editor's Note:
Critical Market Shift Identified
A challenging period may be emerging in the AI infrastructure space as CoreWeave faces its first major test since going public. With Wall Street analysts divided and a lockup period potentially ending next month, the coming weeks could prove pivotal for this volatile stock. Are investors witnessing a potential entry opportunity or signs of broader challenges ahead?
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CoreWeave (CRWV) surprised markets Tuesday evening, declining 18.92% to $120.79 in after-hours trading despite reporting Q2 revenue of $1.21 billion that exceeded analyst expectations of $1.08 billion. The AI cloud infrastructure provider's reported earnings per share came in at -$0.60 versus the -$0.20 expected, marking a significant negative surprise that caught many tech sector investors off guard. With the stock trading well below its reported 52-week high of $187.00 and approaching what some analysts view as support levels, traders appear to be repositioning ahead of what could be an important catalyst in the company's public history. The anticipated September lockup expiration, when a substantial portion of Class A shares may become tradable, represents a potential inflection point that market participants are closely monitoring.
Technical Movement
Stock declined 18.92% to $120.79 in after-hours trading
The Technical Setup Developing Now
CRWV appears to have moved below what technical analysts identify as its 50-day moving average near $134.74, which some traders interpret as a potential trend change since the stock's reported peak at $187 in June. Pre-market action reportedly saw shares decline to $130.43 before finding apparent support, suggesting the $130 level may be serving as a psychological benchmark. Volume indicators suggest increased selling activity, with after-hours volume reportedly exceeding typical daily averages, which some analysts interpret as possible institutional repositioning ahead of the lockup expiration.
Potential Entry Points and Target Levels
Some traders are reportedly watching the $95-$105 zone as a possible entry range, which would represent approximately a 20-25% decline from current levels and could align with longer-term moving averages. Analysts suggest a potential upside target near $135, which could represent meaningful gains from lower entry points, with possible resistance near the $134.74 level. Risk management strategies discussed by traders include considering stop losses around $85, though individual risk tolerance and investment objectives should guide such decisions.
Revenue Surprise
Q2 revenue of $1.21 billion exceeded expectations of $1.08 billion
Why This Move May Continue
Despite the earnings miss, CoreWeave's projected revenue growth and newly raised guidance of $5.15-$5.35 billion for 2025 could suggest continued business momentum. The company's reported 62% adjusted EBITDA margin may indicate operational strengths despite cash burn concerns, while reported customer expansions with OpenAI and new relationships with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley could validate the platform's appeal. The Q3 revenue guidance of $1.26-$1.30 billion, which reportedly exceeded consensus estimates, may reflect management's outlook despite current challenges.
Considerations for Risk Management
Given the volatility and upcoming catalysts, many analysts suggest conservative position sizing, potentially limiting exposure to 1-2% of portfolio value. Some traders discuss scaling strategies, potentially entering positions gradually across different price levels. Exit strategies being discussed include taking partial profits at various targets, though individual investment goals and risk tolerance should determine specific approaches.
Analyst Sentiment
13 Hold ratings versus 6 Buy ratings from Wall Street analysts
What This Could Mean for Investors
The combination of CoreWeave's reported revenue growth, substantial debt burden (approximately $11.1 billion according to reports), and the approaching lockup expiration creates a complex situation where institutional positioning could influence the stock's near-term direction. With reported analyst ratings showing 13 Hold ratings versus 6 Buys, professional investors appear divided on whether this AI infrastructure play can manage its customer concentration considerations. Access to comprehensive research, market data, and professional analysis may help investors navigate this evolving situation. The key question may be whether CoreWeave can sustain its growth trajectory while addressing profitability concerns. Could this represent an opportunity for patient investors, or might it signal broader challenges in the AI infrastructure sector?
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. All data and statistics are based on publicly available information and should be independently verified.
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